Hillary vs. The Donald

By Pat Buchanan

Trump Cowds
Trump Cowds
Pat Buchanan
Patrick J .Buchanan

USA –  -(Ammoland.com)- In a Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump race — which, the Beltway keening aside, seems the probable outcome of the primaries — what are the odds the GOP can take the White House, Congress and the Supreme Court?

If Republicans can unite, not bad, not bad at all.

Undeniably, Democrats open with a strong hand.

There is that famed “blue wall,” those 18 states and D.C. with a combined 242 electoral votes, just 28 shy of victory, that have gone Democratic in every presidential election since 1988.

The wall contains all of New England save New Hampshire; the Acela corridor (New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware and Maryland); plus Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois and Wisconsin in the Middle West; and the Pacific coast of California, Oregon, Washington — and Hawaii.

Changing demography, too, favors the Democrats.

Barack Obama carried over 90 percent of the black vote twice and in 2012 carried over 70 percent of the Hispanic and Asian votes. These last two voting blocs are the fastest growing in the USA.

A third Democratic advantage is simple self-interest.

Half the nation now receives U.S. government benefits — in Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, welfare, student loans, rent subsidies, school lunches and Earned Income Tax Credits, etc.

Folks who rely on government benefits are unlikely to rally to a party that promises to cut government. And as half the nation pays no income tax, these folks are unlikely to be thrilled about tax cuts.

Bernie Sanders, who promises free college tuition and making Wall Street and the 1 percent pay for it, knows his party.

While these realities of national politics would seem to point to inexorable Democratic dominance in coming decades, there are worms in the apple.

First, there is the strangely shrunken and still shrinking Democratic leadership base. As the Daily Caller reports, under Obama, Democrats have lost a net of more than 900 state legislature seats, 12 governors, 69 U.S. House and 13 Senate seats. Such numbers suggest a sick party.

Republican strength on Capitol Hill is again as great as it was in the last years of the Roaring '20s.

Second, due to Trump, viewership of the Republican debates has been astronomical — 24 million for one, 23 million for another.

The turnout at Trump rallies has been unlike anything seen in presidential primaries; and what's more, the GOP voter turnout in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada set new records for the party.

Yet voter turnout for the Clinton-Sanders race has fallen, in every contest, below what it was in the Clinton-Obama race in 2008.

Bernie's millennials aside, the energy and excitement has been on the Republican contest, often a sign of party ascendancy.

Not only would Trump at the top of the GOP ticket assure a huge turnout (pro and con); he is the quintessence of the anti-Washington, anti-establishment candidate in a year when Americans appear to want a wholesale house-cleaning in the capital.

As a builder and job creator, Trump would surely have greater cross-party appeal to working-class Democrats than any traditional Republican politician. Moreover, when Bernie Sanders goes down to defeat, how much enthusiasm will his supporters, who thrilled to the savaging of Wall Street, bring to the Clinton campaign?

This is the year of the outsider, and Hillary is the prom queen of Goldman Sachs. She represents continuity. Trump represents change.

Moreover, on the top Trump issues of immigration and trade, the elites have always been the furthest out of touch with the country.

In the 1990s, when Bill Clinton fought the NAFTA battle, the nation rebelled against the deal, but the establishment backed it. When Republicans on Capitol Hill voted for most-favored-nation status for China, year in and year out, did Republican grass roots demand this, or was it the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Business Roundtable?

On immigration, where are the polls that show Middle Americans enthusiastic about increasing the numbers coming? Where is the majority demanding amnesty or open borders?

The elites of Europe are as out of touch as America's.

Angela Merkel, Time's Person of the Year in 2015, is at risk of being dumped in 2016 if she does not halt the next wave of Middle Eastern refugees who will be arriving on Europe's shores when the seas calm in the spring in the Aegean and the Mediterranean.

If we believe the immigration issue Trump has seized upon is explosive here, look to Europe. In the Balkans and Central Europe, even in Austria, the barriers are going up and the border guards appearing.

Mass migration from the Third World to the First World is not only radicalizing America. It could destroy the European Union. Anger over any more migrants entering the country is among the reasons British patriots now want out of the EU.

America is crossing into a new era. Trump seems to have caught the wave, while Clinton seems to belong to yesterday.

A note of caution: This establishment is not going quietly.

 

Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of the new book “The Greatest Comeback: How Richard Nixon Rose From Defeat to Create the New Majority.

  • 11 thoughts on “Hillary vs. The Donald

    1. HEY JACKSON WE WERE NOT ABLE TO GET S S COST OF LIVING RAISE BECAUSE GAS PRICES ARE DOWN HOW LAME IS THAT I AM STILL WORKING STILL PAYING IN TO S S BY THE WAY HOW MUCH MONEY ARE ALL THERE ILLEGALS COSTING THEM NO I SHOULD SAY US

    2. I FIND TRUMP’S CANDIDACY TO BE THIS MIDDLE-CLASS AMERICAN’S VOICE INTO A CHAMBER OF SELL-OUTS WHO HAVE BEEN REAPING PERSONAL BENEFITS AND GAIN. UNDER “NORMAL” CIRCUMSTANCES I WOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM VOTING FOR AN “ESTABLISHMENT” REPUBLICAN BECAUSE USUALLY THAT’S WHAT WE END UP WITH. BUT HERE’S THE DEAL. DONALD TRUMP IS A 50/50 CRAP SHOOT WHETHER HE TURNS OUT TO BE THE KIND OF PRESIDENT AMERICA NEEDS OR NOT. ON THE OTHER HAND THE DEMOCRATS BRING US A 95% CERTAINTY THAT THEIR POLICIES WILL MAKE THINGS WORSE FOR ALL, YES I SAID ALL, EACH AND EVERYONE OF US. WITH DONALD TRUMP THERE IS NO NETWORK OF POLITICAL ELITES THAT MUST BE ACCOMMODATED. AND THIS THING ABOUT INCOME INEQUALITY FROM THE DEMOCRATS IS BULLSHIT. GOD GAVE EVERYONE DIFFERENT SKILLS. FIGURE YOURS OUT AND EXPLOIT ‘EM TO LIVE THE LIVE YOU THINK YOU WANT. POLITICIANS MAKE POLICY—–CORPORATE LEADERS MAKE SOLUTIONS THAT DELIVER SUCCESS AND PROSPERITY

    3. Thank you Mr. Buchanan for another insightful article.
      Note to Trump supporters, Trump laughs at you. He laughs at you for being so naïve to think he cares about anything but The Donald.
      Vote for anyone but Trump.

    4. The GOP was high jacked years ago to front for Big International business thru the CoC not to mention the Wall St banks and hucksters. With the Democrat party totally fronting and pandering to blacks and illegal immigrants the Middle Class has been hung out to dry. Now thanks to Obama, ghetto blacks burning down cities, attacks on police, etc. the Dem party is a total wreck. Meanwhile the GOP sell outs like Paul Ryan, Mitch McConnell, John McCain, John Boehner , George Will, Brit Hume, Mitt Romney, etc. have destroyed the GOP and the will of the voters !

      Now is the rush to Trump and Cruz a surprise ?

      1. Cruz is just as RINO as the other guys you mentioned. You people need to wake up to that fact. Cruz is going to sell you out if he gets the nomination but thankfully it looks like he won’t.

    5. SS and Medicare are benefits I paid into during a lifetime of work. Not a problem with those.
      It’s all those other freebie handouts that are costing us big-time, and those entitlements are what is bringing all the illegals here. Dry that up and the illegal immigration problem will diminish.

      1. You’re never going to get that money you paid into SS back. How about the damn government stop deducting that money from my paycheck and I will decide how to spend or invest MY money. How did this country ever get along before SS is amazing? SS is one of the biggest ponzi schemes in American history.

      1. I agree. I paid in for my S/S and medicare my whole life. I never collected unemployment,food stamps,welfare,medicaid, or any other govt benefit in my life time.They took S/, medicare,unemployment out of my paychecks I had no choice. So I have no problem with people receiving benefits that they paid for.This generational expanding of the nanny plantation state to buy votes is the problem. Expanding welfare/medicaid/food stamps when obama tells us the economy is in recovery,unemployment is under 5%,is a contradiction, it has never happened before here at the same time.Plus, giving S/S plus the rest to all these millions of illegals and terrorist refugees that never paid a dime is a problem also. Oh, one more thing, I still have to pay taxes on my S/S income to fund these illegals and such.

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