Trump’s Revised Tax Plan: Will it be Acceptable to Conservatives?

By Dr. Tracy Miller

Donald Trump
Donald Trump
The Center For Vision & Values
The Center For Vision & Values

Grove City, PA -(Ammoland.com)- Now that Donald Trump has locked up the Republican nomination, we can look more closely at his policy proposals. In April, when the two candidates were still battling for the Republican nomination, I compared Donald Trump’s tax plan to Ted Cruz’s plan.

Now the important question is how does Trump’s plan compare with Hillary Clinton’s or a possible third party candidate’s plan? Importantly, Trump has indicated recently that he might propose a different tax plan than what he originally proposed, saying so to both ABC and NBC. If he sticks with the principles of his original tax plan, but seeks smaller cuts in tax rates, his revised plan would be better by being more consistent with fiscal responsibility.

In his recent statements, Trump has sent mixed signals about how he would revise his tax plan. In one interview, he said that taxes on the wealthy would “go up a little bit” under a Trump administration. He later clarified himself by saying tax rates on high income Americans would be higher than under his original plan, but less than under current law.

Kyle Pomerleau, the Tax Foundation’s director of federal projects, says that with the tentative revisions that are being considered, Trump’s plan would include three tax brackets, 15 percent, 25 percent and 28 percent. This compares to his original proposal of 10, 20 and 25 percent tax brackets. The revised plan would involve a lower standard deduction of $10,000 per taxpayer instead of the $25,000 standard deduction he originally proposed.

Mr. Trump needs to do more to clarify whether and how his tax plan has changed. His spokeswoman, Hope Hicks, claims that no changes are being made to his tax plan. Economists Arthur Laffer, Larry Kudlow, and Stephen Moore have met with Trump staffers with proposals to tweak his tax plan so that it does not increase the deficit so much.

If all the changes Kudlow and Moore recommend were implemented, Trump’s plan would increase the deficit by an estimated $3.8 trillion over 10 years, considerably less than the more than $10 trillion the Tax Foundation estimated Trump’s original plan would increase the deficit if it were not accompanied by spending cuts.

It would be great if Trump would demonstrate a commitment to fiscal responsibility by proposing smaller tax cuts (albeit cuts that are still substantial). He has given less indication that he favors major reductions in spending. Even if he advocated cuts in spending, there is no reason to expect that Congress would cut spending by very much, even if it were to enact tax cuts.

Ultimately, it is not the president but Congress that makes decisions about tax policy. Nevertheless, the president possesses the bully pulpit, and thus can play an important role by selling a change in tax policy to the public. Congress might not enact the president’s proposal in every detail, but that proposal could provide the basic direction that Congress will go, if the House and Senate are controlled by the president’s party.

At this point, a substantial number of Republicans and conservatives are hesitant to support Donald Trump. He might be able to earn the support of many of them if he clearly articulates economic policy proposals that distinguish him from his Democratic opponent, yet do not appear radical. His original tax cut proposal was radical because it would almost certainly have led to an explosion in federal debt.

Dr. Tracy C. Miller
Dr. Tracy C. Miller

If he proposes tax cuts that are more moderate than his original proposal, emphasizing both the benefit of improved incentives and his commitment to fiscal responsibility, he might be able to attract more votes from fiscal conservatives.

About the Author:

Dr. Tracy C. Miller is an associate professor of economics at Grove City College and fellow for economic theory and policy with The Center for Vision & Values. He holds a Ph.D. from University of Chicago.

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    JohnCMikeyMikeColonialgirlSuperGterdog Recent comment authors
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    JohnC
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    JohnC

    Trump will do whatever he thinks of at the moment. The word plan does not exist.
    Cruz’s flat tax plan is what I would like to see. No a likely event.
    Hopefully Trump fails and is not elected.
    It is a shame the Republicans did not support a viable candidate.

    Colonialgirl
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    Colonialgirl

    “If all the changes Kudlow and Moore recommend were implemented, Trump’s plan would increase the deficit by an estimated $3.8 trillion over 10 years, considerably less than the more than $10 trillion the Tax Foundation estimated Trump’s original plan would increase the deficit if it were not accompanied by spending cuts.” What kudlow and moore ignore as is usual with liberal morons; When you CUT taxes (income taxes or others) , the AMOUNT of money flowing into the treasury INCREASES; This occurs because people and companies have more money to spend on products and supplies and are able to hire… Read more »

    MikeyMike
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    MikeyMike

    Um, apparently you don’t realize that these are conservative republican economists chosen by Trump. Some of them were part of Reagan’s team. None of them are “liberal morons”. Don’t you just hate it when reality and truth get in the way of a good rant?

    SuperG
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    SuperG

    I’d just like to see a flat-rate tax plan. Cruz had a good one.

    terdog
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    terdog

    Typical Trump. No substance, just a “talking head”.

    I am neither Democrat nor Republican. But I’ll say this … Trump will ruin the Republican Party and kill any chance of them wining the election.

    Al Feldore
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    Al Feldore

    I just love progressives who ask who is going to pay for the tax reductions. I have an idea, how and the writer of this article. Your assumption is that spending stays at the same level. Well there you go, making an assumption and that makes an A$$ out of you. Realistically you can reduce taxes to nothing on the first $50k, 10% on the next $100K, then 15% on anything over that. Yes I can prove it will work. The key is to stop spending on 70% of the programs in place today. NO DEDUCTIONS! Mandate all departments/groups drawing… Read more »

    MikeyMike
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    MikeyMike

    In other words, as usual, we have no idea what Trump would actually do. It doesn’t really matter what he says because it will change anyway. It always does.

    Clark Kent
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    Clark Kent

    Who cares? That is the job of Congress. Want to know a GREAT reason to vote for Trump? Consider the Supreme Court nominees of POTUS HiLIARy.