The U.S. Needs New Theories for National Security Success

Opinion

White House Situation Room
The U.S. Needs New Theories for National Security Success
Newt Gingrich
Newt Gingrich

USA – -(Ammoland.com)- Every major American national security victory began with a theory for success. Those theories were used to build strategies, which were then executed through operations and tactics.

Success always begins with a theory, and you cannot achieve success in national security without first starting with a theory.

For example, President Lincoln developed a theory for defeating the Confederacy in the early days of the Civil War based, in part, on General Winfield Scott’s plan to blockade the South by controlling the nation’s coasts and waterways. The influence of Scott’s 1861 Anaconda Plan contributed to the North’s overall strategic initiatives throughout the war, which led to the Union’s victory in four years.

President Franklin D. Roosevelt, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill, and their chiefs of staff constructed a theory for victory in World War II over a three-week period around Christmas of 1941, just weeks after the United States had formally entered the war. The Allies achieved victory in Europe and Japan in the spring and summer of 1945, respectively.

The National Security Council outlined a theory of Soviet containment in a 1950 paper called NSC-68, which President Harry Truman used to initiate a long-term strategy of alliances. Forty-one years later, the Soviet Union collapsed – just as the Security Council’s theory suggested it would.

Now, look at today.

Sixteen years after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, the United States is not winning the war on terrorism – or many of the other major national security challenges we face.

Consider:

  • Islamic supremacism is more powerful today as a transnational movement than it was on September 11, 2001.
  • The Taliban is still in Afghanistan and the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province in Pakistan.
  • The Iranian dictatorship is steadily growing in power and influence.
  • North Korea’s nuclear weapon and missile program is proceeding at an accelerating rate.
  • We are unable to respond effectively to Russia’s system of hybrid warfare, which utilizes political pressure, propaganda, and fluctuating violence to achieve warlike outcomes, while avoiding full war.
  • Cyber and intellectual property theft by China have been debilitating our nation for at least a decade.
  • The list goes on and on.

This ineffectiveness in the face of aggression is not due to a lack of resources or willpower. Instead, it is largely because we lack appropriate theories for success for national security.

Without the right theories, we cannot develop sustainable and executable strategies that will lead us to victory.

While America meanders aimlessly on the world stage, reacting to one crisis after another, our competitors are taking advantage.

The Chinese and Russian regimes work every day to dominate us through economic development, alliance building, technological advancement, and long-term investments that have the potential to strengthen their military capabilities. This is all part of an ongoing competitive engagement that looks nothing like the wars we have fought in the past – but remains no less threatening to our survival.

Further, our theory gap creates more deadly challenges. Since we are failing to keep nuclear weapons away from places such as North Korea, Iran, and Pakistan, we must also develop a doctrine for minimizing American casualties during a potential nuclear war.

So, what can we do?

We must renew the basis of American power. This requires developing a national security theory of succeeding in education and the economy. It also requires assessing the national security implications of public health crises, like the opioid crisis.

A unhealthy, uneducated, and unproductive America will not sustain a global national security system and may not even be able to defend itself.

Specifically, to be successful over the next 20 years, we must develop national security theories for:

  1. Shrinking and eventually eliminating Islamic supremacism as an ideology capable of recruiting soldiers willing to engage in terrorism.
  2. Creating an American response to the Russian model of hybrid warfare which operates with the same capabilities.
  3. Developing systems, strategies, and structures for sustaining continuous competition with China and Russia.
  4. Being prepared for constant change across every career, institution, and system brought about by emerging technologies.
  5. Constantly communicating with Americans and allies to help people understand that mastering the scale and pace of change will be the key to success.

This is a daunting agenda, but it is historically and realistically the right agenda.

Anything less will increase the risk of America’s defeat within the next generation.

Your Friend,
Newt

Understanding Trump
Understanding Trump

P.S. Copies of Callista's new children's book, Hail to the Chief, and my new book Understanding Trump are now available

About Newt Gingrich

Newt Gingrich is well-known as the architect of the “Contract with America” that led the Republican Party to victory in 1994 by capturing the majority in the U.S. House of Representatives for the first time in forty years. After he was elected Speaker, he disrupted the status quo by moving power out of Washington and back to the American people.

Gingrich Productions is a performance and production company featuring the work of Newt Gingrich and Callista Gingrich. Visit : www.gingrichproductions.com

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DarrenAndrewRJLThe RevelatorWild Bill Recent comment authors
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RJL
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RJL

Simple, Borders, Language, Culture. Follow the United States of America’s Constitution, and Bill of Rights, also a legal path to citizenship…………Or leave the United States of America. Step Number One! Americans for Americans!

joe martin
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joe martin

Newt is looking at National Security from a global standpoint, but we will never have any kind of effective national security as long as our borders are unsecured and anyone can cross into this country whenever they like.

Al E. Gator
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Al E. Gator

Newt is dead on. I am, however, very disappointed that he didn’t include securing our borders and reestablishing our sovereignty. An “Open Borders” nation is no nation at all. I would also have added “Countering/eliminating influences from globalist billionaires (e.g. Soros) on our political life”. Prosecute them or assassinate them for sponsoring domestic and international terrorism (e.g. “Antifa” rent-a-pussy violence).

Darren
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Darren

How about ending the empire by bringing the troops & intel agents home (then discharging them)? Also, end the war on drugs which finances terrorism & dictatorships. Then we can live in peace with the world & preserve our liberty at home.

Rollin L
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Rollin L

That’s great. Too bad we are not living in the 19th Century, as that might actually work… back then. Today, that is madness. It may have worked when they could not fly over here from anywhere on the planet in a few hours, or fly to Mexico, or Central/South America and just walk over the border. Today, we can’t keep out 11 million- or 30 million, whatever- illegals including unknown OTMs of possible islamic terrorist bent. Yeah, we are going to build a wall. Still waiting on that, which was authorized 10 or 12 years ago. Oh, and Reagan promised… Read more »

joe martin
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joe martin

A lot of criticism, some valid, some not, but you offer NO solutions, only criticism/cynicism.

The Revelator
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The Revelator

As opposed to the guy who believes that the world hates America because we are an “Empire”, and will simply love and be friendly with us if we only keep our principle of individual liberty here at home? Does anybody honestly believe that while still being able to call themselves “Sane”? The answer is no. We are hated because we are successful and we don’t bend to the world’s opinion. Is there a small part that comes from us interfering, sure.. They already view us as being “Holier than thou” because of our constitution though. Why do you think the… Read more »

The Revelator
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The Revelator

For those wanting examples, try any of the small arms treaties, or perhaps the Law of the Sea Treaty which would have endangered our Submarine bases and transferred all royalty rights to the UN for profits made on the continental shelf right off our coasts.

Darren
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Darren

Well Revelator no one was attacking us before we went overseas to attack them. You could try reading the Founders & their warnings about getting caught up in old world fighting. If the definition of insanity is trying the same thing over & over while expecting a different result how does sending/keeping troops overseas & expecting peace not qualify? Coming to Terms With the American Empire By George Friedman Founder, Stratfor “Empire” is a dirty word. Considering the behavior of many empires, that is not unreasonable. But empire is also simply a description of a condition, many times unplanned and… Read more »

Darren
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Darren

Our empire is built on vassal states & organizations like the UN, IMF, & NGOs rather than direct control. We spread “democracy” to spread our control. What do you call the 700 installations we have around the world? Looks like empire to me. The issue today isn’t how to defend the US it’s the projection of US power abroad. It’s this projection of power that triggers attacks on us. Ending this empire will, therefore, keep us safer. The side of the war on drugs & this secure the border nonsense that you turn a blind eye to is that you… Read more »

Andrew
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Andrew

Darren could you provide a few examples of SWAT raids trampling liberties? Because most of the ones I aware of were DEA, SWAT raids on know illegal activities such as: trafficking, drug labs or distribution points. Sure there has been a couple of mishaps but the only police state raiding, that trapples liberties,I’m aware of has been done by the ATF. Although the FBI’s actions in the Malhuer incident is suspect but that is a different conversation.

Darren
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Darren

Any purely drug raid is trampling liberties. (Yes, drugs should be legal. No, I don’t use drugs nor advocate others doing so.)

Here are the police raiding a high school https://youtu.be/BU2e67hl4ks

This essay covers it well “Overkill: The Rise of Paramilitary Police Raids in America” https://www.cato.org/publications/white-paper/overkill-rise-paramilitary-police-raids-america

Edward Weber
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Edward Weber

Sure,,,just keep lighting up another joint. Keeps you melllooooow and you don’t want to fight.

Wild Bill
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Wild Bill

I think that Darren keeps lighting up another joint. He does not even want to research the truth…just keep belching out the superficial socialist/progressive/Marxist blather that is provided to him, rather than earn a living at a real job.

Darren
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Darren

LOL You forgot the lives-in-his-mama’s-basement line