2020: Year of the Democrats? Maybe Not

Obama in the Rose Garden with Crying Joe Biden
Obama in the Rose Garden with Crying Joe Biden

U.S.A.-(Ammoland.com)- If Democrats are optimistic as 2019 begins, it is understandable.

Their victory on Nov. 6, adding 40 seats and taking control of the House of Representatives, was impressive. And with the party's total vote far exceeding the GOP total, in places it became a rout.

In the six New England states, Republicans no longer hold a single House seat. Susan Collins of Maine is the last GOP senator.

In California, Democrats took the governorship, every state office, 45 of 53 House seats and both houses of the legislature by more than 2-to-1. In the Goldwater-Nixon-Reagan Golden State bastion of Orange County, no GOP congressman survived.

Does this rejection of the GOP in 2018 portend the defeat of Donald Trump in 2020, assuming he is still in office then?

Not necessarily.

For consider. Nancy Pelosi may want to close out her career as speaker with solid achievements, but she could face a rebellion in her party, which is looking to confront and not compromise with Trump.

The national debt may be surging, but Capitol Hill progressives will be demanding “Medicare-for-all” and free college tuition. Trump-haters will be issuing reams of subpoenas and clamoring for impeachment.

Other Democrats, seeing the indulgent attention their colleagues are getting from the media, will join in. Chairman Jerrold Nadler's House Judiciary Committee may have to accommodate the sans-culottes.

Is this what America voted for?

By the Ides of March, a dozen Democrats may have declared for president. But looking over the field, no prospective candidate seems terribly formidable, and the strongest, unlike Barack Obama in 2008, are too old to set the base afire.

According to a USA Today poll, 59 percent of Democrats say they would be “excited” about “someone entirely new” leading the party in 2020. Only 11 percent say they would prefer a familiar face.

Yet, who did these same Democrats view most favorably? Joe Biden, a 76-year-old white male first elected to the Senate when Richard Nixon was president.

Biden polls better than any of his rivals, with 53 percent of all Democrats saying they would be “excited” about his candidacy, and only 24 percent saying he ought not run a third time for president.

The candidate who comes closest to Biden in exciting the base is 77-year-old Vermont socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders. Bernie's problem?

Almost as many Democrats believe he should not run again as would be excited about having him as nominee.

As for Elizabeth Warren, the USA Poll must be depressing news. Twenty-nine percent of Democrats would be excited about her candidacy, but 33 percent believe the 69-year-old Massachusetts Senator should not run.

Beto O'Rourke, the three-term Congressman from Texas who put a scare into Sen. Ted Cruz in November is less well-known than Bernie or Biden. But those excited about an O'Rourke run outnumber those who think he should not run.

Senators Kamala Harris and Cory Booker, both African-American, are less well-known but have more Democrats excited about their running than are opposed to it.

However, as Harris is from California and Booker from New Jersey, both blue states that Democrats are almost certain to carry in 2020, and both are from a minority that already votes 90 percent Democratic, even their appeal as vice presidential nominees would not seem to equal that of O'Rourke or Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, who won re-election while his state was going Republican.

Yet, Brown, too, at 66, is eligible for Medicare.

A Biden-Brown ticket would present problems for the GOP. But could a Democratic Party that ceaselessly celebrates its racial and ethnic diversity and appeal to women and millennials get away with nominating a ticket of two white males on Social Security?

Other problems are becoming acute within the Democrats' coalition of blacks, gays, Asians, Hispanics, women and LGBT, fraying the seams of the party.

After Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan praised the Women's March co-president Tamika Mallory, and declared Jews to be the enemy in a speech last February, the Women's March movement has splintered.

Asian-Americans who vote Democratic nationally are growing bitter over diversity policies in the Ivy League and elite schools that admit black and Hispanic students over Asian students with far higher test scores.

The BDS movement (boycott, divest, sanctions), targeted against Israel, is angering Jewish Democrats while gaining support on campuses.

Elizabeth Warren opposes BDS, but also opposes efforts to punish those who champion BDS. “I think the boycott of Israel is wrong,” said Warren at a town hall meeting, but added that “outlawing protected free speech activity violates our basic constitutional rights.”

In identity politics, loyalty to race, ethnic group and gender often trump the claims of party. The diversity Democrats celebrate is one day going to pull their party apart, as the social, cultural and racial revolutions of the 1960s pulled apart the party of FDR and LBJ.


About Patrick J. BuchananPat Buchanan

Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of the new book “The Greatest Comeback: How Richard Nixon Rose From Defeat to Create the New Majority.

  • 22
    Leave a Reply

    Please Login to comment
    15 Comment threads
    7 Thread replies
    0 Followers
     
    Most reacted comment
    Hottest comment thread
    19 Comment authors
    Wild BillTon ERocketmanLLTacitus Recent comment authors
      Subscribe  
    Notify of
    Rocketman
    Guest
    Rocketman

    Trump’s greatest failure while in office is not getting laws passed to stop illegal voting of all kinds of ways. Many of the Democrats that were elected in southern California are in because their supporters with phony ballots “found” just after the election. The Democrats just kept “finding” and “finding” more and more ballots until, surprise, they found enough to overturn the congressional election. Expect this to continue in other states until the have total control. Then the American people are totally screwed.

    LL
    Guest
    LL

    I’m not worried, This subject is moot. The ‘Democrat”(Communist) party is toast, no more, gone, Fait accompli!

    Wild Bill
    Guest
    Wild Bill

    @LL, I am worried because there is no shortage of stupid people. I was reading the American Thinker the other day (https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/12/democrats_a_plague_on_the_nation.html), and came to wonder if maybe parties have corrupted our Constitutional system so much that it is time to ban political parties.

    Tacitus
    Guest
    Tacitus

    The human animal like all animals will always try for the lowest hanging fruit. It’s a survival strategy. A creature expends the least amount of work or energy for the greatest gain. It’s a biological imperative. In “advanced” human societies, if someone is handing out free food, clothing, shelter, medical care, etc. those human animals will not turn it down. There is no thought about history, or morality, or future of their society. It’s just about consumption. The would be elite has its own agenda. Currently they need to get elected by a majority. But, to gain power they bait… Read more »

    tomcat
    Guest
    tomcat

    What a bunch of has been’s that never were and the rest are big mouths that are just minions. If this is the best the democrats can come up with, I wish them a high failure rate. There is no one amongst them that care about this country or it’s citizens, just what they can destroy and take away. If they say anything else, they are lying.

    A.X. Perez
    Guest
    A.X. Perez

    Out of friendship for his kin, I hope O’Rourke waits until ’24 to run, he’s not ready to run ln 2020. As a supporter of gun rights, I hope that he runs for President in 2020 and gets whupped.

    Proctor
    Guest
    Proctor

    The Democrat victory was not impressive so much as depressing that so many Americans bought into their baloney. There is a higher likelihood of a party switch in Congress mid term. Big deal. Republicans really need to get together to make a strategy focused on a specific set of gains, promoting those to the public, answering why Democrat schemes will destroy us, and party unity. Instead, they act like a bunch of establishment buffoons fighting within, accomplishing nothing, and not touting their actual wins like the tax cut. Trump needs to start working with the party and be a part… Read more »

    Robert Messmer
    Guest
    Robert Messmer

    Quote: “Trump needs to start working with the party and be a part of the plan and leadership instead of being some wild card.” That is backwards since Trump was elected because of being a wild card. The party needs to start working with President Trump and be a part of his plan instead of doing the same thing they always do. The House waited until the Christmas break AFTER losing the mid-terms to vote for wall funding and the Senate allowed the Minority to dictate that it would not vote on that bill. What happened to national reciprocity? Died… Read more »

    Ton E
    Guest
    Ton E

    National Reciprocity needed 60 votes in the Senate to pass that’s why it died. I never thought it would pass anyways because it died in the senate two times before.

    Mott
    Guest
    Mott

    I still believe the Dem’s stuffed the box’s. That or there are that many BRAIN DEAD voters!

    Ben
    Guest
    Ben

    I’m not sure which. When I lived in Crappyfornia the brain dead were everywhere however there were way more conservative or libertarian constitutionalist than you would think. I’m leaning towards brain dead voters and laziness on our part in not getting out there. We can’t afford to be the silent majority we have to be vocal and vote.

    JoeUSooner
    Guest
    JoeUSooner

    I – long ago – stopped under-estimating the power of stupid people, especially in large groups!

    Therefore, the fact that just over half of America’s voters (including the illegal immigrants who voted) are stupidly gullible as a box of rocks certainly does not surprise me… in fact, it should not surprise any sane adult.

    Ben
    Guest
    Ben

    Just make sure to vote and we can get rid of this Democrap problem.

    James Andrews
    Guest
    James Andrews

    Exactly……we need to vote these traitors out of office!

    Wild Bill
    Guest
    Wild Bill

    Socialist democrat are not waiting for the 2020 presidential elections. They are ginning up impeachments for Trump and for Pence, so that Nancy Pelosi can be POTUS. This will ensure that the US never turns its back on socialism.

    hippybiker
    Guest
    hippybiker

    I’m betting on the overall arrogance and stupidity of t(e demonrat hierarchy. They will put the old, worn out and sick witch up again. Even if they have to prop he4 up. It will be a sure win for President Trump in 2020.

    Ron
    Guest
    Ron

    Once again, Mr. Buchanan seems to have several good points.
    While some may disagree with him, he has a lot more ‘smarts and experience’ than a lot of these ‘seasoned politicians’ that post here. Everyone has their opinion. I look forward to his commentaries.

    R1

    JAY
    Guest
    JAY

    I think it’s a realistic observation that the right-wing conservatives are seeing their last days as office-holders. As more and more non-conservatives are pouring into our country, the number of conservative voters are overwhelmed. This last election more than demonstrates that the left is taking control of the government. I doubt that the right will stand for it.

    Joseph P Martin
    Guest
    Joseph P Martin

    In the photo it looks like Biden is holding his nose (and breath) like someone has farted, or maybe he’s just anticipating Obama about to speak, which would be, to paraphrase Shakespeare, “A rose by any other name smells the same.”

    BLAMMO
    Guest
    BLAMMO

    Why are we listening to Pat Buchanan? Has he ever gotten anything right?

    Ron
    Guest
    Ron

    Dam’d right he has Blammo! Lots right.
    About his only fault for the most part (my opinion) is backing out of running for President several yrs ago. Really, why are ‘you’ listening to him??

    R1

    Green Mtn. Boy
    Guest
    Green Mtn. Boy

    “Susan Collins of Maine is the last GOP senator.”

    It is easily argued she is a RINO of the first order and might think of joining her fellow travelers in the Commiecrat party.