November 2019 sets New Record for NICS Background Checks

Graphic by Dave Scott, Courtesy Dean Weingarten

U.S.A.-(Ammoland.com)- The National Instant background Check System (NICS) numbers for November of 2019 are a new record, 2,574,752. The previous record was in November 2016, at 2,556,281.

The numbers for NICS in 2019, through the end of November, are 25,432,856.

Those numbers, by themselves, would make 2019 the third-highest year on record. But December numbers are yet to be added to the year's total. December has the highest number of checks of any month of the year for 17 of the last 20 complete years of NICS checks.

Last year, the December NICS checks were 2,543,385. They will probably be higher than that this year. The record for December was in 2016 when the total NICS checks hit 3,314,594. It is possible NICS will break that record this month.

The economy is booming. Unemployment is at its lowest in 50 years. Firearms are, in constant dollars, more affordable by the average person than ever before. A few days ago, an AR15 upper and lower, lacking only a rear sight, but with a rail for mounting optics, was advertised for $339.98. A magazine was not included. Magazines can be had for about $10. Palmetto State advertises a rear sight for $24.99.  A person can have a complete rifle for about 375 dollars. In 1963 the AR15 was advertised for $189.50. In constant dollars, that would be $1,516 dollars today. Today's rifles can be had for about 1/4 of what they cost 56 years ago when you take inflation into account.

There are dangerous calls for more and more infringements on the Second Amendment by politicians on the left.  The success of a combination of Bloomberg money and Communist Chinese linked electioneering in taking over the state government in Virginia shows the entire nation how serious the leftists are about infringing on the Second Amendment.

The political and economic biases both work toward record NICS checks in December of 2019.

A record number in December is not needed for 2019 to become a record setting year for NICS checks.

The current record was set in 2016, with 27,432,856 checks being done in that presidential election year. 2019 needs only 2,105,817 checks in December to break the 2016 record. I predict 2019 will set a new record for annual NICS checks.

As noted many times before, the increase in use of NICS checks for permit and permit rechecks has altered the relationship of NICS checks to firearm sales. When permit and permit rechecks are removed, the NICS numbers for November 2019, become 1,371,044. For November 2016, the comparable number was 1,669,133, roughly 300,000 more sales of firearms.

Last November, in 2018, the comparable number was 1,343,531 or 28 thousand fewer sales than indicated for November, 2019.

Because 25 states use the NICS checks for carry permits as a check for firearm sales, increasing carry permit and permit rechecks can indicate a rise of sales to permit holders that are not reflected in the NICS checks for sales.

Over 7% of adults in the United States now have a carry permit.

Record levels of NICS checks may not mean record levels of sales; they indicate a healthy and high new normal of firearm sales in the United States.


About Dean Weingarten:Dean Weingarten

Dean Weingarten has been a peace officer, a military officer, was on the University of Wisconsin Pistol Team for four years, and was first certified to teach firearms safety in 1973. He taught the Arizona concealed carry course for fifteen years until the goal of Constitutional Carry was attained. He has degrees in meteorology and mining engineering, and retired from the Department of Defense after a 30 year career in Army Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation.

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JoeUSoonerDubi LooVernWill Flattjoefoam Recent comment authors
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Dubi Loo
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Dubi Loo

I don’t use the term civil war, because that allows the enemy to use the “emotion of slavery” in order to try and win hearts and minds. I use the term Revolution, because the end goal is to revolt against tyrannical government. I am Pro-Civil-Rights! That automatically makes the enemy anti-civil-rights which more accurately describes their actions. We are in a culture war, the use of “charged” words do sway folks on the fence Just my $0.02 YMMV

Vern
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Vern

South Carolina was the starting point for the civil war in 1861, Virginia was the capitol of the south.
Will Virginia be the starting point today?

Will Flatt
Member

All of this also proves that many Americans are aware #CW2 is imminent and they are prepping accordingly, buying the guns, ammunition and even body armor that they know they will need. When Civil War 2.0 kicks off, everything will accelerate dramatically.

joefoam
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joefoam

The dems in VA are already terrified of the potential of violence there. Maybe they have pushed too far this time and need to be put back in their places. Recall would be better.

Will Flatt
Member

Peaceful resistance is fine until it stops working. Dems’ places are not here and absolutely nowhere near any public office!

As for pushing too far, they did that decades ago with NFA, FFA, GCA, FOPA…. Now that they’re bucking for total disarmament and outlawing freedom of assembly relative to 2A, it’s time we push back. It’s up to them how hard we puch back! If they fear violence, they can avoid that by stopping their trampling of our rights!

JoeUSooner
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JoeUSooner

“Peaceful resistance is fine until it stops working.” Magnificent statement! Thank you! (I’ll plagiarize with it occasionally…)