Study Stretches Coincidence to Correlation to Vilify Gun Ownership

By Salam Fatohi

Massachusetts Flag Gun iStock-884183940
On the surface, this study suggests this group cares about possible issues resulting from the mixing of firearms and children; however, a closer look exposes their biases against firearm ownership. IMG Stock-884183940

U.S.A. -( Firearm ownership is a longstanding American tradition. New gun owners, an estimated 8.4 million in 2020 and an additional 3.2 million in the first half of 2021, represent a growing trend of Americans willing to exercise their Second Amendment rights and with it to take on the responsibility of gun ownership.

While firearm ownership can be a polarizing issue, the topic of safety, especially in regard to children, is a high priority for everyone. Lately, this priority of firearm safety has caught the eye of the Firearm Exposure Research Team at Harvard Chan School of Public Health. The Harvard researchers recently posted an environmental research study in Science Direct called, “Firearm licenses associated with elevated pediatric blood lead levels in Massachusetts.”

On the surface, this study suggests this group cares about possible issues resulting from the mixing of firearms and children; however, a closer look exposes their biases against firearm ownership.

Bias-Driven Research

This “study” sought to determine an association between, “firearm-related lead exposure and pediatric blood lead levels.” The methodology utilized by the researchers leaves little confidence in their ability to report without bias and true correlation.

The team collected firearm licensing information from the Massachusetts Departments of Public Health and Criminal Justice Information Services and overlapped pediatric blood lead level data for the corresponding areas in 2017. Using these factors alone, the researchers concluded that ownership of a firearm is a contributing factor in pediatric blood lead levels. The researchers assert that mere happenstance of Americans legally owning firearms results in lead exposure. This is somehow enough evidence for the folks at Harvard. The researchers did not tie a direct causal link between firearm ownership and pediatric lead exposure because there is none.

Half-Effort, Full Fail

The researchers did not interview firearm owners or parents to find predominant habits which could result in lead exposure. Nor did they take into account environmental factors to have conclusive evidence in the scientific community. One of the researchers said in a blog, “the study was of a single year only, and measurement of environmental toxicants is inherently difficult.”

The truth is that these advocates want to use correlation, at best, not actual evidence of causation to scare people from owning firearms by suggesting the mere presence of a firearm will harm their children by exposing them to elevated blood lead levels. If their hypothesis was correct, with over 400 million firearms in civilian possession and conservative estimates that about 1 in 3 households have a firearm, surely there would be, evidence, if not, an epidemic of lead poisoning among children of gun owners. With agenda-driven science, correlation is conflated with causation. You usually don’t have to scratch far below the surface to expose the bias.

About The National Shooting Sports Foundation

NSSF is the trade association for the firearm industry. Its mission is to promote, protect and preserve hunting and shooting sports. Formed in 1961, NSSF has a membership of thousands of manufacturers, distributors, firearm retailers, shooting ranges, sportsmen’s organizations, and publishers nationwide. For more information, visit

National Shooting Sports Foundation

Most Voted
Newest Oldest
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

Correlation is not causation. Did the study attempt to cull out such factors as lead in paint from older housing stocks, lead in municipal water supplies, lead from industrial activities. This reminds me of the much fabled Condor study in California where so-called scientists blamed hunters and gut piles for lead in Condors. The funny thing is this. If you look at an overlay of the effected area you note that the California Department of Transportation and the US Freeway grid are prominent features. Featured with those features, mostly built before 1970 is a massive quantity of lead based paints.… Read more »


We could use a lot more unrepentant tyrants passing away with a bad case of acute lead poisoning.


This is all part of the effort to make guns a ‘health’ issue so they can do a work around to the 2A and restrict guns for health reasons.


if you live in a hi crime area , not having a gun is a health issue

Deplorable Bill

Could this have been used as the excuse the e p a used to shut down the last lead smelting plant in the U.S. under obama bin ladin? When someone, government or privet party, has to resort to lies to convince people of anything you can bet your last dollar they are not doing so for your benefit. The opposite is true, they are trying to coerce you into or force you into slavery. We see this in government, we see this in the evening news, we see this in social media. This is called propaganda. Only evil people use… Read more »


yea, good luck with that. leftists gonna do what leftists do, lie, distort the truth and fabricate it if needed.
i expected as much when i saw where this “research” was conducted. remember, we have to follow the science.