November 2018 NICS Second Highest on Record

November 2018 NICS Second Highest on Record
November 2018 NICS Second Highest on Record

U.S.A. -(Ammoland.com)- The 2018 November of National Instant background Check System (NICS) numbers have been reported by the FBI. The NICS checks for November of 2018 were 2,393,043. That makes 2018 the second highest November on record. The record was set in 2016, with 2,561,281.

The number of NICS done this year is already the third highest since NICS checks were started in 1998. The total at the end of November, 2018, is  23,638,551. Only 2016 and 2017 had higher totals for the whole year.

December is usually the highest month for NICS checks. There are only three years where this was not true. Those were 2008, 2013, and 2014.

NICS checks are highly correlated with worries about further infringements on the Second Amendment by the federal government. In 2008, it was worry about the election of Barrack Obama. In 2013, it was concern over his re-election. In 2014, it was concern over the statements President Obama made in his push for more infringements.

I expect over 2.5 million NICS checks in December of 2018.  The Media are starting to push for more infringements on the Second Amendment from their colleagues in the House of Representatives.  That will increase the worry level for some people who are considering purchasing a firearm. The worry of infringements combined with the holiday will push them to make the purchase.

2.5 million plus NICS checks in December will raise the total NICS for the year to over 26 million, just in between the totals for 2016 and 2017, making the 2018 NICS year the second highest on record.

The number of NICS checks is not as highly correlated with firearm sales as it used to be. A large number of NICS checks are done for carry permits and permit rechecks.

In November of 2018, about 1,050,000 of the NICS checks were done for permits and permit rechecks. The vast majority of the permit and permit rechecks were in two states. Illinois and Kentucky accounted for over 650,000 of the permit and permit rechecks.

We will not know the actual number of firearms added to the private stock in the United States until a year and a half from now. The BATF tracks the licensed manufacture of firearms, and the legal import and export of them.  They do not include firearms manufactured for the military.  Because of concerns for intellectual property rights in the data, numbers of firearms manufactured are not reported to the public for a year.

It is likely tens to hundreds of thousands of firearms are legally and illegally made without a license in the United States each year. Those numbers are not counted, not known, and not included in the official BATFE numbers. The numbers of guns illegally imported or exported are similarly unknown.

The assumption that the unknown numbers of guns manufactured is approximately the same as guns lost due to destruction or wear, allows an estimation of the total number of guns in private hands in the United States.

At the end of 2018, the number of private guns will be about 430 million.

About .15 percent of firearms are used in violent crime each year. That is not 15% , not 1.5%, but .15%.  This about one out of every 600 firearms.


About Dean Weingarten:Dean Weingarten

Dean Weingarten has been a peace officer, a military officer, was on the University of Wisconsin Pistol Team for four years, and was first certified to teach firearms safety in 1973. He taught the Arizona concealed carry course for fifteen years until the goal of constitutional carry was attained. He has degrees in meteorology and mining engineering, and recently retired from the Department of Defense after a 30 year career in Army Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation.

  • 8 thoughts on “November 2018 NICS Second Highest on Record

    1. With crime now out of control in many parts of the country Texas in particular I would assume gun cells would be going up

    2. American gun owners are preparing for a 2nd American Revolution where we will need the guns & ammo to fight a feckless radical Left and their apparatchiks in government who promise to confiscate, confiscate, confiscate – and annihilate all who resist. Such a position is untenable. The Left can outlaw guns and ammo, and we can outlaw Leftists.

      Soon, helicopter rides for commies will be in vogue again!

    3. This is what so concerns me and others that all Americans,who own firearms , FULLY comply with our current laws. Both on the Federal and on the State level.
      “It is likely tens to hundreds of thousands of firearms are legally and illegally made without a license in the United States each year. Those numbers are not counted, not known, and not included in the official BATFE numbers. The numbers of guns illegally imported or exported are similarly unknown”. A very concerning issue! I am proud that we have a country where one can own legally own a firearm. For hunting and protection. But we are required to follow our current gun laws. No exceptions. For ones that disagree, then follow the due process of changing current laws. The GWD.

      1. GWD, once again you spew your leftist agitprop. No American is obligated to obey an unconstitutional law; such ‘laws’ are not laws at all (Marbury v Madison). In fact, we have a DUTY to disobey unconstitutional ‘laws’. Gun rights predate the founding of our nation and are in fact the whole reason why we even have a nation. The BATFE cannot regulate so-called ‘ghost guns’ that are made by peaceable Americans in their own homes for private possession instead of interstate commerce. One needs no license to make their own firearms for private use. This is the crux of 3-D printed firearms; the ability for anyone who doesn’t possess machinist skills can make their own firearms without government interference!

        The government does not have plenary powers to know who every gun owner is; that is why homemade firearms without serial numbers are an important part of our firearms freedom. The more of these we have, the more impossible it is for the government to disarm the public.

        If politicians won’t obey the Constitution, we can vote them out at the ballot box. We also have the soapbox, to speak out against antigun politicians… We have the jury box, to nullify bad law. But most of all, we have the cartridge box, to vote with our firearms if all else fails. GWD, you act as if the 2nd Amendment is only for hunting and protection from common criminals. WRONG. The 2nd Amendment was written to guarantee that Americans retain the ability to throw off oppressive government, not duck hunting!

        1. That’s right ,that’s why they always try to convince the masses that it is for hunting , Germany spoke on the same lines and we all know how that ended

          1. Ole green weenie dog always sticking his foot in his mouth or shooting himself in the foot. I doubt if he has persuaded anyone reading these posts to convert to his liberal thinking. Talk about opening your mouth and proving you are an idiot, he takes the prize.

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