April 2021 NICS Breaks Record, Gun Sales Continue High for Month

Millions of law-abiding citizens submit to background checks, as intimated by the president's comment to reporters. (Dave Workman)
Do ‘universal background checks’ really work to reduce gun-related crime? (Dave Workman)

U.S.A.-(AmmoLand.com)- April 2021 numbers for the National Instant background Check System (NICS) set another record. The previous record for April, in 2020, was 2,911,128. In 2021, the April NICS were 3,514,070.

Actual firearm sale are different. Over half of NICS checks are done for carry permits or carry permit rechecks. Illinois had nearly 890,000 rechecks alone in April of 2021.

Graphics courtesy David Scott and Dean Weingarten

Using our formula, the estimate for 2020 was 1,648,688 1.649 million firearms sold. The same formula, applied to 2021, gives us 1.665 million firearms sold. The increase is only 1%, but it breaks the record.

It appears the United States has reached a new normal. Guns and ammunition are being produced as fast as they can be. Demand is almost being met. Some guns are becoming available again. Some common shotgun ammunition is available in the stores.

Only 17 100 rd boxes of 12 gauge target loads in Walmart. Courtesy Dean Weingarten

Most common pistols, pump shotguns, and semi-automatic rifles are seldom found on dealers’ shelves. They tend to be purchased before they arrive and leave the store shortly after they get there.

The country is deeply divided between those who believe the old, Progressive media, social media, and the Tech Oligarchs and those who do not.

The unrest and violent riots common in many cities where leftist power is dominant have convinced many of the desirability of personal weapons, especially with the bizarre demands to defund the police and release thousands of criminals into the streets.

If the Biden administration’s extreme spending plans and attempts to render the Republic into a Leftist oligarchy fail, it is likely to demand will drop, the noted capitalist capability to produce things people desire, for-profit, will succeed in doing so, and prices will start to fall.

The specter of inflation from all the covid crazy spending may, or may not keep prices high.

The number of privately held firearms in the United States, with an increase of 1.67 more last month, is about 471 million. The estimate is made using the method pioneered by Newton and Zimring, and extended by Gary Kleck in “Point Blank: Guns and Violence in America”.

The United States manufactures and imports about 9.1 billion rounds of ammunition a year. That is about 20 rounds of ammunition per firearm in the United States.

Most people have not been keeping a hundred rounds of ammunition per firearm. Many people now think that is the bare minimum. The increase in demand is showing up as bare shelves at the gun shops. It is possible the lack of ammunition is serving as a check on the demand for gun sales.

The United States has more firearms per person than any other nation on earth. It also has more ammunition. Modern ammunition lasts a very long time, at a minimum of several decades. The key to long-term storage of ammunition is cool to moderate temperatures, keeping it dry, and away from contamination by oils.

Given those conditions, much hundred-year-old ammunition has been happily fired at the range.

Guns take a long time to wear out, with just a minimum of care; ammunition lasts for several generations. The societal effects of an armed America will be felt for many decades to come.


About Dean Weingarten:

Dean Weingarten has been a peace officer, a military officer, was on the University of Wisconsin Pistol Team for four years, and was first certified to teach firearms safety in 1973. He taught the Arizona concealed carry course for fifteen years until the goal of Constitutional Carry was attained. He has degrees in meteorology and mining engineering, and retired from the Department of Defense after a 30 year career in Army Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation.

Dean Weingarten

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swmft
swmft
25 days ago

when you talk about ammo lasting I have a 1903 Springfield in 30-03 have what is left from my grandfather for ammo, he got all the armory had left in mass in 1912 or so government had shifted to 30-06 some of the early receivers were tempered for black powder some for modern propellant needless to say wrong cartridge for gun go boom , mine has been magnafluxed several times no cracks still shoots great

Don
Don
27 days ago

Our local Walmart has NO ammunition. The biggest local dealer has a couple boxes of .350, 6.8mm, and amazingly .270 Win.

Boris Badenov
Boris Badenov
27 days ago

Rule #1 you can NEVER have too much ammo, Rule #2, see rule #1.

GomeznSA
GomeznSA
27 days ago
Reply to  Boris Badenov

BB – infantry corollary to that ‘rule’ – except when you are on fire or in water over your head.

musicman44mag
musicman44mag
28 days ago

I would like to thank obiden and the demonrat administration for the extra money they sent me this year. I want them to know the money they sent did not go to waste it bought a very nice Colt Python for my protection and just because I wanted the newer model.

Please send more as I would like a 50 BMG just for kicks. Don’t forget to throw in some bonus bucks for ammo, those rounds are very expensive.

Dee
Dee
28 days ago
Reply to  musicman44mag

You’re lucky Musician. Myself and my family didn’t receive sh!t. But I too did pick up a few items. My fave is my SP5 and my MCX Virtus. Set me back almost a couple weeks pay when you throw in the ammo but it’s a small cost to protect my family.

Dee
Dee
28 days ago
Reply to  musicman44mag

Btw, just say no to the 50 cal. Well maybe not…..

https://youtu.be/1449kJKxlMQ

Stay safe my brutha!!

JeffThorsen777
JeffThorsen777
28 days ago

It’s interesting!