December 2018 NICS Background Checks make Second Highest on Record

NICS checks for 2018

U.S.A. -( The National Instant Background Checks System (NICS) checks for December of 2018 were 2,543,385. They were just a little less (42,753) than NICS checks for December of 2017. That makes them the fourth highest December on record and puts the total for 2018 as the second highest year of NICS checks on record with 26,181,936. The top year was 2016, with 27,438,673.

Gun sales are in a minor slump. Some call it the “Trump Slump”. How can this be?

Two things conspired to bring about the “Trump Slump”. The first is that President Trump is not Hillary Clinton. Gun owners are not as concerned about being able to purchase the gun and ammunition they want. There is also less fear of emotionally driven politics will be used to deny them the guns they wish to have.

The second part is many NICS checks are for other purposes. Once we take out the background checks done for permits and permit renewals, The numbers drop.  The numbers of permit and permit recheck numbers for December of 2018 were 737,926 and 285,273, respectively. Those are 1,023,199 checks not done for firearms purchases.

Last month I predicted there would be over 2.5 million NICS checks for December of 2018. It was an accurate prediction.  If, as expected, about .56  firearms are added to the private stock for each NICS check done, then NICS checks in December will translate into 1.42 million additional private firearms.

That increases the number of private firearms in the United States to about 433 million at this time. In April of 2018, I predicted the U.S. stock of private firearms would be more than 430 million by the end of 2018.

Over 177 million of those firearms have been added during the 20 years of NICS checks since 1998.  A hundred million were added in the last seven years.

With Nancy Pelosi the Speaker, and a Democrat House of Representatives in Congress, we can expect the introduction of numerous restrictive gun laws:

  • They will try to ban semi-automatics.
  • They will try to ban private sales.
  • They will try to impose national waiting periods.
  • They will try to impose “lock up your gun” laws.
  • They will try to increase the age a person has to be to purchase a firearm.
  • They will try to make the victim of gun theft responsible for anyone victimized by a criminal who used the stolen gun.
  • They will insist all of these laws will be “gun safety” laws when none of them increase safety with guns an iota.

Many of these laws will pass the House and be sent to the Senate. With a partisan media, these laws will have major attention. Even with the 177 million firearms added to the private stock over the last 20 years, there are still 200 million or so Americans who are not adequately armed.  Many of those unarmed Americans will listen to the rhetoric. They will see the hatred directed toward the President and his supporters.

A portion of the other side will believe the propaganda designed to dehumanize conservatives, particularly white, Christian, straight, men.

Some people on both sides will decide they need guns. Some will want to defend the Constitution, some will wish to destroy it.

I do not expect the highly restrictive infringements on Second Amendment rights to pass. I expect them to give the gun industry a bump.

About Dean Weingarten:Dean Weingarten

Dean Weingarten has been a peace officer, a military officer, was on the University of Wisconsin Pistol Team for four years, and was first certified to teach firearms safety in 1973. He taught the Arizona concealed carry course for fifteen years until the goal of constitutional carry was attained. He has degrees in meteorology and mining engineering, and recently retired from the Department of Defense after a 30 year career in Army Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation.

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Get Outtomcatwilly dGregTorchiaRoy D. Recent comment authors
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Get Out
Get Out

IMOA when will anti-gun politicians pushing all of these knee-jerk gun laws to appease their anti-gun donors realize their causing people to purchase more guns, ammo, high cap magazines and other firearms related components before the law takes effect? You also have to consider people in states that have outright banned certain type of guns or components failure to comply with their knee-jerk gun laws.


I’m sure the gun grabbers are going to do all they can to make a person owning a gun a second class citizen, but we are still citizens and deplorables. Gun sales will start to increase again as they get their new laws written but another thing we need to watch is the price and availability of ammo once again. Let’s just hope they can’t slide by the senate and the president.

willy d
willy d

I had mine, but lost them through a accident crossing a lake, but I know that people are not taking any chances and are arming up and stocking up at a very steady pace and this will continue to be the normal, I hear more people are buying and getting training to handle their own homes as they are finding it harder to get quick protection from their local police departments, response times are not what the bureaucrats say, and they are going to fire more than 2 rounds off of the back porch like Biden has suggested in the… Read more »


Most of them are communists –
Armin up ,,,because they know what’s coming -fortunately we knew it was coming years ago and we already have what we need/ 1776

Roy D.
Roy D.

The last half dozen guns I have purchased were because I wanted something new to play with, nothing more. But then I can’t tell you how many guns I have off the top of my head. So there is that.